Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Romania	Digi Sport 2


	Mirra Andreeva		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.45	2.8	Watch
	1.48	2.82
	1.48	2.82
	1.44	2.75
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	2.79 ↑ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirra Andreeva
65.8%

Paula Badosa
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirra Andreeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirra Andreeva than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	5.3%	21.1%

Mirra Andreeva - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Andreeva will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Badosa will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Andreeva: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Andreeva is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Badosa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Andreeva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Andreeva will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirra Andreeva
WTA Madrid
01.05.24	Mirra Andreeva - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Mirra Andreeva - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Marketa Vondrousova - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Mirra Andreeva - Linda Noskova	2:1 ✺
24.04.24	Mirra Andreeva - Taylor Townsend	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Madrid
24.04.24	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Paula Badosa	2:1 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.24	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	Badosa P. retired ✺
15.04.24	Diana Shnaider - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.24	Danielle Collins - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
22.03.24	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 L?WLL

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