Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ORTISEI (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Mirza Basic		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.4	1.58
	2.41	1.59
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.47)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirza Basic
39.7%

Alejandro Moro Canas
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Mirza Basic - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Moro Canas will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Basic is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moro Canas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Basic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moro Canas will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Moro Canas to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
23.10.23	Daniel Cukierman - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Mirza Basic - Elliot Benchetrit	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Lucas Gerch - Mirza Basic	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.09.23	Valentin Vacherot - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Mirza Basic - Niksa Arsic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
13.10.23	Emilio Nava - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
12.10.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
09.10.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW

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