Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Mirza Basic		Alexander Weis

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.29	1.6
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.23	1.6	Watch
	2.42	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.99)	1.56 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirza Basic
40.2%

Alexander Weis
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirza Basic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirza Basic's form might have worsened.

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Weis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	0%	42.1%

Mirza Basic - Alexander Weis Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Basic will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Weis will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basic: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Basic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weis is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Basic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Weis will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Weis to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Mirza Basic	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Dinko Dinev - Mirza Basic	Basic M. retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.23	Elias Ymer - Mirza Basic	Canceled ✺
03.02.23	Mikael Ymer - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.01.23	Daniel Cox - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 W??LL
- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Egor Khotchenkov - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.23	Arthur Reymond - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
03.03.23	Alexander Weis - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
02.03.23	Alexander Weis - Luca Tomasetto	2:1 ✺
28.02.23	Alexander Weis - Peter Heller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

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