Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Mirza Basic		Dennis Novak

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.72
	2.13	1.69
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2	1.73
	2	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.72)	1.72 ↓ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirza Basic
46%

Dennis Novak
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirza Basic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirza Basic's form might have worsened.

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dennis Novak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirza Basic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dennis Novak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mirza Basic - Dennis Novak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basic is ranked ATP: 556. Novak is ranked ATP: 417.

In recent matches, Basic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Novak is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Basic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirza Basic
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Stefan Popovic - Mirza Basic	Popovic S. retired ✺
28.08.25	Karlo Kajin - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Mirza Basic - Branko Djuric	Djuric B. retired ✺
23.08.25	Mirza Basic - Viacheslav Bielinskyi	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Mirza Basic - Branko Djuric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?W?LW
- Dennis Novak
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Dennis Novak - Filip Jeff Planinsek	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Dennis Novak - Aljaz Jeran	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Dennis Novak - Luka Vuglar	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Dennis Novak - Sean Cuenin	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Dennis Novak - Nikola Basic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Mirza Basic - Dennis Novak	0:2

Mirza Basic - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide