Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHAMPAIGN (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 November 2023, Thursday


	Mitchell Krueger		Alex Rybakov

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.68	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.25
	1.67	2.26
	1.53	2.38
	1.59	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)	2.27 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitchell Krueger
58.8%

Alex Rybakov
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitchell Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mitchell Krueger's performance.

Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Rybakov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mitchell Krueger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Rybakov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Mitchell Krueger - Alex Rybakov Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Rybakov will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Krueger is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rybakov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rybakov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Krueger will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rybakov to win the game is with odds 2.51.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Krueger won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Denis Kudla - Mitchell Krueger	Kudla D. retired ✺
08.11.23	Alexander Ritschard - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
31.10.23	Ethan Quinn - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
13.10.23	Alexander Ritschard - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?LWLL
- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Chris Rodesch - Alex Rybakov	1:2 ✺
13.11.23	Murphy Cassone - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Joshua Sheehy - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
06.11.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Alex Rybakov - Nathan Ponwith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.04.23	Alex Rybakov - Mitchell Krueger	1:2
18.07.22	Alex Rybakov - Mitchell Krueger	2:0

Mitchell Krueger - Alex Rybakov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide