Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Knoxville (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday


	Denis Kudla		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.87
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.86	1.97
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.82	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.26)	1.88 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Kudla
50.3%

Mitchell Krueger
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Kudla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Kudla's performance.

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mitchell Krueger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Kudla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitchell Krueger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Denis Kudla - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kudla will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Krueger will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kudla: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kudla is ranked ATP: 217. Krueger is ranked ATP: 144.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kudla won 4.

Recent matches Kudla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Krueger is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krueger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kudla won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Kudla
ATP Challenger
28.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Denis Kudla	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Denis Kudla - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
21.10.24	Bor Artnak - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Denis Kudla - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
02.10.24	Denis Kudla - Goncalo Oliveira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
28.10.24	James Kent Trotter - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
22.10.24	Borna Gojo - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Mitchell Krueger - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Denis Kudla - Mitchell Krueger	Kudla D. retired
16.03.22	Mitchell Krueger - Denis Kudla	0:2
02.11.21	Mitchell Krueger - Denis Kudla	0:2
18.09.21	Mitchell Krueger - Denis Kudla	2:1
06.02.20	Mitchell Krueger - Denis Kudla	1:2
07.01.20	Mitchell Krueger - Denis Kudla	1:2
ATP Houston
08.04.18	Denis Kudla - Mitchell Krueger	2:0

Denis Kudla - Mitchell Krueger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide