Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TIBURON (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday


	Mitchell Krueger		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.4	1.52
	2.51	1.55
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.49	1.49	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.07)	1.52 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitchell Krueger
38.5%

Ryan Peniston
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mitchell Krueger's form might have worsened.

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryan Peniston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Mitchell Krueger - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Krueger will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Peniston will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

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Preview

Krueger is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Peniston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krueger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Peniston will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
25.09.23	Laurent Lokoli - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
18.09.23	Mitchell Krueger - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Adam Walton - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Jiri Lehecka - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
21.08.23	Pavel Kotov - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLW
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
30.09.23	Abedallah Shelbayh - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
29.09.23	Adam Walton - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
28.09.23	Ryan Peniston - Christian Harrison	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Patrick Kypson - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Ryan Peniston - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL

Mitchell Krueger - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide