Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Darwin 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Moerani Bouzige		Casey Hoole

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.53
	2.33	1.52
	2.32	1.52	Watch
	2.27	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.06)	1.53 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moerani Bouzige
39.9%

Casey Hoole
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moerani Bouzige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moerani Bouzige's form might have worsened.

Casey Hoole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casey Hoole's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moerani Bouzige than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moerani Bouzige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casey Hoole than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casey Hoole, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Moerani Bouzige - Casey Hoole Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bouzige is ranked ATP: 475., and Hoole is ranked ATP: 1250..

In recent outings, Bouzige has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hoole is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Bouzige could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Hoole in today's match, at odds of 1.7.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Bouzige has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Moerani Bouzige - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.2%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moerani Bouzige
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Moerani Bouzige - Jesse Delaney	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Moerani Bouzige - Stefan Storch	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Moerani Bouzige - Casey Hoole	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Moerani Bouzige - Kenta Miyoshi	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Philip Sekulic - Moerani Bouzige	Bouzige M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLL?
- Casey Hoole
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Casey Hoole - Tai Sach	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Jack Bruce-Smith - Casey Hoole	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Casey Hoole - Hayden Jones	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Herman Hoeyeraal - Casey Hoole	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Casey Hoole - Colin Sinclair	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.09.26	Moerani Bouzige - Casey Hoole	1:2
19.12.24	Moerani Bouzige - Casey Hoole	2:0

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