Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 4, hard - Final

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Moez Echargui		Dan Added

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.24	Watch
	1.63	2.38
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.76)	2.25 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
58.4%

Dan Added
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moez Echargui's performance.

Dan Added has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dan Added might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Moez Echargui - Dan Added Predictions

Users Predictions: Moez Echargui will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Moez Echargui will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Echargui is ranked ATP: 191. Added is ranked ATP: 286.

Echargui has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Added is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Added may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Echargui will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Echargui won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
22.08.25	Moez Echargui - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Moez Echargui - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Moez Echargui - Pavlo Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Moez Echargui - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Moez Echargui - Manas Manoj Dhamne	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWW?
- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
22.08.25	Rafael Jodar - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Dan Added - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Dan Added - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Dan Added - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Rafael Jodar - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.08.25	Moez Echargui - Dan Added	2:0

Moez Echargui - Dan Added: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide