Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 4, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday


	Moez Echargui		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.25	3.45
	1.27	3.83
	1.29	3.46	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
73%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Moez Echargui - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Echargui will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hara Friend will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Echargui is ranked ATP: 211. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 842.

Echargui is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hara Friend has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hara Friend may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Echargui is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Moez Echargui - Manas Manoj Dhamne	Canceled ✺
10.08.25	Moez Echargui - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Moez Echargui - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Moez Echargui - Igor Kudriashov	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Moez Echargui - Maxence Rivet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?WWWW
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Ivan Gakhov - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:1 ✺
11.07.25	Niels Visker - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Aristotelis Thanos	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Adrian Oetzbach	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWW

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