Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 17 August 2026, Monday
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Moez Echargui |
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Hugo Grenier |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.66 |
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2.09 |
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1.62 |
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2.32 |
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1.57 |
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2.23 |
Watch |
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1.58 |
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2.25 |
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1.61 |
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2.18 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.84) |
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2.21 ↑
(1.84) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Moez Echargui
57.9% | Hugo Grenier
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moez Echargui's performance.Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Grenier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moez Echargui that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Grenier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Echargui is ranked ATP: 197. Grenier is ranked ATP: 258.Echargui is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Grenier has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Grenier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Echargui won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Moez Echargui - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Hugo Grenier - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 01.10.25 | Moez Echargui - Hugo Grenier | 0:2 | | 02.08.25 | Hugo Grenier - Moez Echargui | 0:2 | | 05.10.23 | Moez Echargui - Hugo Grenier | 0:2 |
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