Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Moez Echargui		Spencer Johnson

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.30	1.52
	2.68	1.53
	2.24	1.59	Watch
	2.65	1.47	Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.35	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.9)	1.51 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
38.1%

Spencer Johnson
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moez Echargui's form might have worsened.

Spencer Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spencer Johnson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moez Echargui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spencer Johnson than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spencer Johnson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Moez Echargui - Spencer Johnson Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Echargui will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Johnson will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Echargui is ranked ATP: 194. Johnson is ranked ATP: 524.

Echargui has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Johnson has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Echargui may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Washington
26.07.26	Andres Martin - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Jordan Lee - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Moez Echargui - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Hugo Gaston - Moez Echargui	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Spencer Johnson
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Ryan Colby - Spencer Johnson	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Matthew Forbes - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Spencer Johnson - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Spencer Johnson	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

Moez Echargui - Spencer Johnson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide