Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Wang X. (Chn)


	Moez Echargui		Yan Bai

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.88	1.85	Watch
	1.94	1.89
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.84	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.98)	1.84 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
49.5%

Yan Bai
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Yan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yan Bai than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Moez Echargui - Yan Bai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Echargui is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bai is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Echargui could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
29.04.24	Rio Noguchi - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	James Kent Trotter - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Moez Echargui - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
15.04.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Moez Echargui - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW
- Yan Bai
ATP Challenger
06.05.24	Yan Bai - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Yan Bai - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
01.05.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Yan Bai	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Yuta Shimizu - Yan Bai	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Zi Yang - Yan Bai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW

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