Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi (China) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuxi (China) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Referee: Wang Q. (Chn)


	Yan Bai		Blake Ellis

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Yan Bai
51.9%

Blake Ellis
48.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yan Bai's form might have worsened.

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blake Ellis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yan Bai than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-5%)

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Recent matches Bai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ellis is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ellis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yan Bai
ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Yan Bai - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
01.05.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Yan Bai	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Yuta Shimizu - Yan Bai	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Zi Yang - Yan Bai	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.03.24	Yan Bai - Ryotaro Taguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Sheng Tang - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Blake Ellis - Jie Cui	1:2 ✺
28.04.24	Luke Saville - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Blake Ellis - Richard Berankis	Ellis B. retired ✺
22.04.24	Moez Echargui - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLW?W

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Yan Bai - Blake Ellis