Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Moise Kouame		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.07	Watch
	1.65	2.29
	2.43	1.51	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.56)	2.04 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moise Kouame
53.4%

Matej Dodig
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moise Kouame has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moise Kouame's form might have worsened.

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matej Dodig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moise Kouame than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Moise Kouame - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kouame will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Dodig will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kouame is ranked ATP: 507. Dodig is ranked ATP: 232.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Dodig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moise Kouame
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Moise Kouame - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Moise Kouame - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Clement Chidekh - Moise Kouame	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Moise Kouame - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.01.26	Moise Kouame - Pierre Yves Bailly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Matej Dodig - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Matej Dodig - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Matej Dodig - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Matej Dodig - August Holmgren	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Matej Dodig - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWL?L

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