Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Mona Barthel		Anna-Lena Friedsam

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.88	1.88
	1.98	1.94
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.91	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.67)	1.88 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
49.9%

Anna-Lena Friedsam
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mona Barthel's form might have worsened.

Anna-Lena Friedsam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anna-Lena Friedsam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anna-Lena Friedsam than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Mona Barthel - Anna Lena Friedsam Predictions

Users Predictions: Anna-Lena Friedsam will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barthel is ranked WTA: 186. Friedsam is ranked WTA: 211.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Friedsam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mona Barthel - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.7%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Mona Barthel - Mia Pohankova	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.04.26	Mona Barthel - Linda Klimovicova	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.04.26	Mona Barthel - Jeline Vandromme	Barthel M. Retired ✺
03.04.26	Mona Barthel - Ekaterina Kazionova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLW?W
- Anna-Lena Friedsam
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Barbora Krejcikova - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Zhibek Kulambayeva - Anna-Lena Friedsam	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Noma Akugue Noha - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Aliona Falei - Anna-Lena Friedsam	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Darja Semenistaja - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL

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