Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Manchester, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Mona Barthel		Celine Naef

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.69	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)	2.11 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
56.2%

Celine Naef
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Celine Naef has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mona Barthel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celine Naef than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celine Naef could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mona Barthel - Celine Naef Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barthel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Barthel (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barthel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barthel is ranked WTA: 233. Naef is ranked WTA: 302.

In recent matches, Barthel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Naef is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barthel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mona Barthel - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.1%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Mona Barthel - Isabella Maria Serban	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Mona Barthel - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.12.25	Mona Barthel - Fiona Ferro	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Mona Barthel - Diana Martynov	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Mona Barthel - Kamilla Rakhimova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- Celine Naef
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Celine Naef - Tessa Johanna Brockmann	Naef C. walkover ✺
13.01.26	Eva Bennemann - Celine Naef	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Noma Akugue Noha - Celine Naef	2:0 ✺
04.12.25	Lisa Pigato - Celine Naef	1:2 ✺
03.12.25	Celine Naef - Silvia Ambrosio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.03.24	Mona Barthel - Celine Naef	2:1
26.11.22	Mona Barthel - Celine Naef	2:1

Mona Barthel - Celine Naef: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide