Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Angers, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Mona Barthel		Kamilla Rakhimova

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.77	1.46
	2.19	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.41	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.75)	1.54 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
39.1%

Kamilla Rakhimova
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mona Barthel's performance.

Kamilla Rakhimova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kamilla Rakhimova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mona Barthel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamilla Rakhimova than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kamilla Rakhimova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Mona Barthel - Kamilla Rakhimova Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Barthel will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Rakhimova will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barthel: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mona Barthel will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barthel is ranked WTA: 225. Rakhimova is ranked WTA: 112.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rakhimova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rakhimova might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barthel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ATP Challenger
04.12.25	Shuai Zhang - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
02.12.25	Jessika Ponchet - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.11.25	Mona Barthel - Weronika Ewald	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Mona Barthel - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLLW
- Kamilla Rakhimova
ATP Challenger
03.12.25	Linda Klimovicova - Kamilla Rakhimova	1:2 ✺
02.12.25	Kamilla Rakhimova - Fiona Ferro	Canceled ✺
01.12.25	Alina Korneeva - Kamilla Rakhimova	0:2 ✺
WTA Hong Kong
28.10.25	Anna Kalinskaya - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:0 ✺
WTA Guangzhou
20.10.25	Yafan Wang - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 W?WLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
25.06.24	Kamilla Rakhimova - Mona Barthel	2:1

Mona Barthel - Kamilla Rakhimova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide