Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 June 2024, Thursday

Referee: Russo E. (Ita)


	Mona Barthel		Elvina Kalieva

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	1.55	2.5
	1.55	2.5
	1.53	2.38
	1.57	2.34	Watch
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.36)	2.45 ↓ (2.94)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
61.6%

Elvina Kalieva
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mona Barthel's form might have worsened.

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvina Kalieva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mona Barthel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvina Kalieva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Mona Barthel - Elvina Kalieva Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Barthel will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Kalieva will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barthel: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kalieva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barthel will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Maria Timofeeva - Mona Barthel	Timofeeva M. retired ✺
08.06.24	Mona Barthel - Ekaterina Yashina	Canceled
ITF Tournaments
31.05.24	Anca Alexia Todoni - Mona Barthel	2:1 ✺
30.05.24	Kaitlin Quevedo - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
28.05.24	Lesley Kerkhove Pattinama - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ??LWW
- Elvina Kalieva
ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Elvina Kalieva - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
05.06.24	Elvina Kalieva - Anca Alexia Todoni	0:2 ✺
03.06.24	Elvina Kalieva - Irina Maria Bara	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.05.24	Elvina Kalieva - Susan Bandecchi	0:2 ✺
30.05.24	Elvina Kalieva - Julia Middendorf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLW

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