Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Moyuka Uchijima		Elina Svitolina

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4	1.24
	4.4	1.22
	4.63	1.23
	3.98	1.25	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.06	1.25	Watch
	4.4	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (2.69)	1.23 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moyuka Uchijima
22.5%

Elina Svitolina
77.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moyuka Uchijima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moyuka Uchijima's form might have worsened.

Elina Svitolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elina Svitolina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moyuka Uchijima than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moyuka Uchijima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elina Svitolina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Moyuka Uchijima - Elina Svitolina Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Uchijima will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Svitolina will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svitolina: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchijima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Uchijima (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchijima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchijima is ranked WTA: 56. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 17.

Uchijima is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

Svitolina in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games, wins - 5).

Uchijima could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, Svitolina is a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Uchijima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Madrid
29.04.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Moyuka Uchijima	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Ons Jabeur	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Robin Montgomery	2:1 ✺
WTA Rouen
18.04.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Olga Danilovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWWWL
- Elina Svitolina
WTA Madrid
29.04.25	Elina Svitolina - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Elena Rybakina - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Sonay Kartal - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
20.04.25	Elina Svitolina - Olga Danilovic	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Elina Svitolina - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Olympic Games
28.07.24	Moyuka Uchijima - Elina Svitolina	0:2

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