Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota 4, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco		Facundo Mena

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.42	1.6
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.81)	1.62 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
42.1%

Facundo Mena
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco's form might have worsened.

Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Mena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Mena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Facundo Mena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Facundo Mena will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 262. Mena is ranked ATP: 369.

Dellien Velasco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dellien Velasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Mena will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Mena - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.05%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
26.11.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Peter Bertran	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Ryan Dickerson - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Andres Andrade - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLW?
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
26.11.25	Maxwell McKennon - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Facundo Mena - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Facundo Mena - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Facundo Mena - Juan Estevez	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Facundo Mena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Facundo Mena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide