Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.63	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.65)	1.97 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
53.3%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dellien Velasco will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varillas is ranked ATP: 327. Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 265.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dellien Velasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varillas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.87%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Ryan Dickerson - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Andres Andrade - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	Canceled
10.11.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Juan Bautista Torres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.11.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2
Davis Cup World Group I
04.03.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide