Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Punta Del Este (Uruguay), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 January 2025, Wednesday


	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.85	1.85
	2	1.83
	1.89	1.85
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
49.6%

Gonzalo Bueno
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dellien Velasco will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bueno will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dellien Velasco: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 184. Bueno is ranked ATP: 284.

Recent matches Dellien Velasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bueno is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bueno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dellien Velasco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Renzo Olivo - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
14.01.25	Maximo Zeitune - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
05.01.25	Christian Garin - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
17.01.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Gabriel Debru	2:1 ✺
13.01.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Ezequiel Monferrer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.01.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0
ITF Tournaments
11.02.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1
05.11.22	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide