Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.12
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.84)	2.08 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
55.2%

Gonzalo Bueno
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's performance.

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Bueno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bueno will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bueno (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varillas is ranked ATP: 281. Bueno is ranked ATP: 213.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Varillas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Varillas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
05.03.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Benjamin Torrealba - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Aguilar Cardozo J. retired ✺
24.02.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWL?W
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Franco Roncadelli - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2
04.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0
18.01.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0
14.10.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide