Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls (USA), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Murphy Cassone		Colton Smith

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.96	1.76	Watch
	1.96	1.9
	1.96	1.88	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.96	1.77	Watch
	1.96	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.97)	1.79 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
47.6%

Colton Smith
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Murphy Cassone - Colton Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Smith will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cassone: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 363. Smith is ranked ATP: 496.

Cassone in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Smith is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
25.10.24	Christopher Eubanks - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Murphy Cassone - Stefan Kozlov	Cassone M. walkover ✺
22.10.24	Murphy Cassone - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Govind Nanda - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Aziz Dougaz - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 W?WWW
- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
25.10.24	Colton Smith - Ozan Baris	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Kyle Edmund - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	Colton Smith - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Max Basing - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL

Murphy Cassone - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide