Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Quito 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quito 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Mwendwa Mbithi		Juan Sebastian Osorio

	1	2
	1.53	2.54
	1.48	2.44	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.47	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.48)	2.5 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mwendwa Mbithi
62.8%

Juan Sebastian Osorio
37.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mwendwa Mbithi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Juan Sebastian Osorio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwendwa Mbithi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Sebastian Osorio than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mwendwa Mbithi - Juan Sebastian Osorio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mbithi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Osorio will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mbithi is ranked ATP: 724. Osorio is ranked ATP: 1021.

Mbithi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Osorio is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mbithi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mbithi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mbithi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mwendwa Mbithi
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Fernando Cavallo - Mwendwa Mbithi	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Felipe De Dios - Mwendwa Mbithi	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Herman Hoeyeraal - Mwendwa Mbithi	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Benjamin Willwerth - Mwendwa Mbithi	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Mwendwa Mbithi - Jacob Brumm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLL
- Juan Sebastian Osorio
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Ryan Dickerson	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Frazier Rengifo	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Nicolas Hollender	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Manuel Mouilleron Salvo - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Frazier Rengifo - Juan Sebastian Osorio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.07.24	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Mwendwa Mbithi	1:2

Mwendwa Mbithi - Juan Sebastian Osorio