Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sion, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Luca Staeheli		Juan Manuel La Serna

	1	2
			Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2.10	1.70
	2.25	1.67
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.20	1.64
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2.00	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.97)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Staeheli
44.4%

Juan Manuel La Serna
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Staeheli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Staeheli than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Luca Staeheli - Juan Manuel La Serna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Staeheli is ranked ATP: 529. La Serna is ranked ATP: 288.

Staeheli is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

La Serna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

La Serna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Staeheli will win today's game, with odds of 2.08.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel La Serna - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.24%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Staeheli
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Luca Staeheli - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.26	Luca Staeheli - Louis Wessels	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Luca Staeheli - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Nico Hipfl - Luca Staeheli	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Adrien Berrut - Luca Staeheli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW
- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Facundo Mena - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Nick Hardt - Juan Manuel La Serna	Hardt N. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWL?

Luca Staeheli - Juan Manuel La Serna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide