Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Augsburg, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday


	Juan Manuel La Serna		Hynek Barton

	1	2
			Watch
	3.50	1.26
	3.45	1.27	Watch
	3.66	1.3
	3.48	1.26	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.41	1.27	Watch
	3.45	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.92)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel La Serna
26.6%

Hynek Barton
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel La Serna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Hynek Barton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Manuel La Serna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hynek Barton than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hynek Barton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juan Manuel La Serna - Hynek Barton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

La Serna is ranked ATP: 283. Barton is ranked ATP: 271.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barton is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Hynek Barton - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 68.56%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
25.08.26	Benjamin Hassan - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
20.08.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Luca Staeheli - Juan Manuel La Serna	Staeheli L. Retired ✺
18.08.26	Facundo Mena - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WL?WL
- Hynek Barton
ATP Challenger
24.08.26	Calvin Hemery - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Hynek Barton - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Hynek Barton - Tim Handel	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Hynek Barton - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL

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