Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 5, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Naho Sato		Anastasiia Gureva

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.35	2.95
	1.34	3.30
	1.31	3.09	Watch
	1.31	3.20
	1.31	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)	3.13 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naho Sato
70.3%

Anastasiia Gureva
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naho Sato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naho Sato's performance.

Anastasiia Gureva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anastasiia Gureva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naho Sato than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naho Sato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasiia Gureva than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anastasiia Gureva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Naho Sato - Anastasiia Gureva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sato is ranked WTA: 584. Gureva is ranked WTA: 1060.

Sato is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Gureva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sato might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naho Sato
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Naho Sato - Gio Jang	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Naho Sato - Junlu Sun	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Dayeon Back - Naho Sato	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Naho Sato - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Naho Sato - Feier Hu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Anastasiia Gureva
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Anastasiia Gureva - Yingqun Sun	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Yesung Choo - Anastasiia Gureva	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Anastasiia Gureva - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Maria Kalyakina - Anastasiia Gureva	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Anastasiia Gureva - Irem Kurt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLL

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