Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sapporo 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Naoki Nakagawa		Hikaru Shiraishi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.63	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.59)	2.06 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoki Nakagawa
55%

Hikaru Shiraishi
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Hikaru Shiraishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hikaru Shiraishi than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Naoki Nakagawa - Hikaru Shiraishi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 354. Shiraishi is ranked ATP: 514.

In recent matches, Nakagawa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shiraishi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shiraishi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nakagawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakagawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Naoki Nakagawa - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
08.09.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Sho Katayama	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Taketo Takamisawa	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Cleeve Harper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL
- Hikaru Shiraishi
ITF Tournaments
08.09.25	Ryo Tabata - Hikaru Shiraishi	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Charles Broom - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Shinji Hazawa	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Daiki Yoshimura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.09.24	Hikaru Shiraishi - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2
21.09.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1

Naoki Nakagawa - Hikaru Shiraishi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide