Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sapporo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Naoki Nakagawa		Keisuke Saitoh

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.4
			Watch
	1.49	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.39)	2.44 ↓ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoki Nakagawa
61.7%

Keisuke Saitoh
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Keisuke Saitoh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keisuke Saitoh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Naoki Nakagawa - Keisuke Saitoh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saitoh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 344. Saitoh is ranked ATP: 694.

In recent matches, Nakagawa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Saitoh is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nakagawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nakagawa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nakagawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Cleeve Harper	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Yibing Wu - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
04.08.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Dhakshineswar Suresh	Nakagawa N. retired ✺
20.07.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Kaylan Bigun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLW?L
- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Keisuke Saitoh - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Yong Joon Park - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Keisuke Saitoh - Masamichi Imamura	0:2 ✺
11.08.25	Keisuke Saitoh - Chen Dong	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Kasidit Samrej - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.08.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Keisuke Saitoh	2:1

Naoki Nakagawa - Keisuke Saitoh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide