Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sapporo 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Naoki Nakagawa		Kaichi Uchida

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.38	1.55
	1.49	2.40	Watch
	2.33	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.25)	1.76 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoki Nakagawa
45.3%

Kaichi Uchida
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naoki Nakagawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaichi Uchida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Naoki Nakagawa - Kaichi Uchida Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 354. Uchida is ranked ATP: 512.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Nakagawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Uchida is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Uchida will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakagawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Mark Whitehouse	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Sho Katayama	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Taketo Takamisawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW
- Kaichi Uchida
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Shunsuke Nakagawa - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Kousuke Ogura - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Kaichi Uchida - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Kaichi Uchida - Charles Broom	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.10.21	Naoki Nakagawa - Kaichi Uchida	2:0
17.06.17	Naoki Nakagawa - Kaichi Uchida	2:1

Naoki Nakagawa - Kaichi Uchida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide