Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 TAKASAKI (JAPAN), HARD - FINAL

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: TAKASAKI (JAPAN) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Naoki Nakagawa		Makoto Ochi

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Naoki Nakagawa
69.8%

Makoto Ochi
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Makoto Ochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Makoto Ochi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Nakagawa in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ochi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nakagawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nakagawa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nakagawa to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
22.09.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Sora Fukuda	2:0 ✺
21.09.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1 ✺
20.09.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Daisuke Sumizawa	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Seita Watanabe	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Kazuki Nishiwaki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW
- Makoto Ochi
ITF Tournaments
22.09.23	Makoto Ochi - Collin Altamirano	2:1 ✺
21.09.23	Gage Brymer - Makoto Ochi	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Noritaka Koizumi - Makoto Ochi	0:2 ✺
19.09.23	Ryotaro Taguchi - Makoto Ochi	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Egor Gerasimov - Makoto Ochi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

Naoki Nakagawa - Makoto Ochi