Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SAPPORO (JAPAN), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 September 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: SAPPORO (JAPAN) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Naoki Nakagawa		Shuichi Sekiguchi

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Naoki Nakagawa
59.1%

Shuichi Sekiguchi
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naoki Nakagawa's performance.

Shuichi Sekiguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shuichi Sekiguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shuichi Sekiguchi than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Nakagawa in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sekiguchi is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sekiguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Nakagawa to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
07.09.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Kokoro Isomura	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Shunsuke Wakita	2:1 ✺
05.09.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Adam Moundir	2:1 ✺
30.08.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Keisuke Saitoh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW
- Shuichi Sekiguchi
ITF Tournaments
07.09.23	Shuichi Sekiguchi - Jumpei Yamasaki	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Shuichi Sekiguchi - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
04.09.23	Shuichi Sekiguchi - Hiroki Sakagawa	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.08.23	Shuichi Sekiguchi - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Shuichi Sekiguchi - Francis Casey Alcantara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW

Naoki Nakagawa - Shuichi Sekiguchi