Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Naoki Nakagawa		Steven Diez

	1	2
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.25	1.62
	2.12	1.62
	2.2	1.68
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.26	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.37)	1.64 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoki Nakagawa
42.9%

Steven Diez
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Steven Diez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naoki Nakagawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Steven Diez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Naoki Nakagawa - Steven Diez Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nakagawa will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Diez will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakagawa: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Diez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Diez will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
25.04.22	Michail Pervolarakis - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Naoki Nakagawa - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
17.04.22	Naoki Nakagawa - Andrew Harris	0:2 ✺
05.04.22	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
04.04.22	Naoki Nakagawa - Jose-Rubin Statham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW
- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
22.04.22	Federico Gaio - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
21.04.22	Steven Diez - Ernesto Escobedo	2:0 ✺
19.04.22	Steven Diez - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
05.04.22	Jordan Thompson - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Gijs Brouwer - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL

Naoki Nakagawa - Steven Diez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide