Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Washington, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Washington 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	05:45	Stan Sport
Austria	21:45	Laola1
Brazil	16:45	ESPN 2
Czech Republic	21:45	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	21:45	TV2 Play
Finland	22:45	DAZN
France	21:45	beIN Sports 1
Germany	21:45	Laola1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Slovakia	21:45	Voyo
Sweden	21:45	DAZN, TV4 Play
United Kingdom	20:45	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD


	Naomi Osaka		Alexandra Eala

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.61	2.28	Watch
	1.66	2.45
	1.59	2.43	Watch
	1.62	2.35
	1.61	2.32	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.41)	2.33 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
59%

Alexandra Eala
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naomi Osaka's form might have worsened.

Alexandra Eala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexandra Eala's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naomi Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandra Eala than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexandra Eala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Naomi Osaka - Alexandra Eala Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Eala will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 13. Eala is ranked WTA: 28.

Recent performances by Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Eala is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Eala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Osaka could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Naomi Osaka - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 67.21%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Washington
31.07.26	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Naomi Osaka	Krueger A. Retired ✺
WTA Wimbledon
07.07.26	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Darya Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 W?LWW
- Alexandra Eala
WTA Washington
31.07.26	Alexandra Eala - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Alexandra Eala - Qinwen Zheng	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.26	Jasmine Paolini - Alexandra Eala	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Alexandra Eala - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWLW

Naomi Osaka - Alexandra Eala