Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	08:05	Max
Croatia	07:05	Max
Czech Republic	07:05	Max
Denmark	07:05	Max
Finland	08:05	Max
France	07:05	Max
Germany	07:05	Discovery+
Hungary	07:05	Max
Italy	07:05	Discovery+
Norway	07:05	MAX
Poland	07:05	Max
Romania	08:05	Max
Serbia	07:05	Max
Slovenia	07:05	Max
Sweden	07:05	Max
United Kingdom	06:05	Discovery+ UK


	Naomi Osaka		Belinda Bencic

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.67	2.21	Watch
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	2.18 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
56.5%

Belinda Bencic
43.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Belinda Bencic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belinda Bencic than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	0%	27.6%

Naomi Osaka - Belinda Bencic Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 41 - 71.9%). Bencic will win (votes: 16 - 28.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 60.2% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 51. Bencic is ranked WTA: 294.

Osaka is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bencic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Australian Open
14.01.25	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
13.01.25	Naomi Osaka - Caroline Garcia	2:1 ✺
WTA Auckland
04.01.25	Clara Tauson - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. retired ✺
03.01.25	Alycia Parks - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
02.01.25	Naomi Osaka - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WW?WW
- Belinda Bencic
WTA Australian Open
14.01.25	Suzan Lamens - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Belinda Bencic - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Adelaide
07.01.25	Belinda Bencic - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Anna Kalinskaya - Belinda Bencic	Kalinskaya A. retired ✺
04.01.25	Laura Siegemund - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
31.03.22	Belinda Bencic - Naomi Osaka	1:2
WTA US Open
02.09.19	Naomi Osaka - Belinda Bencic	0:2
WTA Madrid
09.05.19	Naomi Osaka - Belinda Bencic	1:2
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.19	Naomi Osaka - Belinda Bencic	0:2
WTA Hopman Cup
30.12.17	Naomi Osaka - Belinda Bencic	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Tokyo
29.10.26	Naomi Osaka - Mia Pohankova	✺

Naomi Osaka - Belinda Bencic