Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Karolina Muchova		Naomi Osaka

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.18
	1.68	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.19
	1.69	2.17	Watch
	1.69	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	2.2 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Muchova
56.6%

Naomi Osaka
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karolina Muchova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naomi Osaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muchova is ranked WTA: 8., and Osaka is ranked WTA: 17..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 3.

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Muchova may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Muchova has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Muchova
WTA Beijing
04.10.26	Karolina Muchova - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Karolina Muchova - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
27.09.26	Anhelina Kalinina - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
04.09.26	Emma Navarro - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL
- Naomi Osaka
WTA Beijing
04.10.26	Sara Bejlek - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Maria Timofeeva - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
07.09.26	Naomi Osaka - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Naomi Osaka - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
07.07.26	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Muchova	0:2
WTA Bad Homburg
27.06.26	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. Retired
WTA US Open
03.09.25	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	0:2
WTA Australian Open
14.01.25	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	1:2
WTA US Open
29.08.24	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Muchova	0:2
WTA Miami
26.03.22	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. walkover
WTA Madrid
02.05.21	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	2:1

Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide