Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: No. 1 Court (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Naomi Osaka		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	1.67	2.20	Watch
	1.70	2.15
	1.73	2.10
	1.74	2.28
	1.72	2.17	Watch
	1.68	2.25
	1.76	2.21	Watch
	1.69	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 (1.71)	2.2 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
56.2%

Karolina Muchova
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	0%	13.6%

Naomi Osaka - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Muchova (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Muchova (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Naomi Osaka will win (51 of 59 users predict this - 86.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.7% – 95.18%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Naomi Osaka will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Muchova (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 14. Muchova is ranked WTA: 9.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 2.

Osaka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Muchova is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Wimbledon
05.07.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Darya Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Anastasia Gasanova - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
27.06.26	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWW?
- Karolina Muchova
WTA Wimbledon
05.07.26	Karolina Muchova - Barbora Krejcikova	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Karolina Muchova - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Karolina Muchova - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Karolina Muchova - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
27.06.26	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Bad Homburg
27.06.26	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. Retired
WTA US Open
03.09.25	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	0:2
WTA Australian Open
14.01.25	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	1:2
WTA US Open
29.08.24	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Muchova	0:2
WTA Miami
26.03.22	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. walkover
WTA Madrid
02.05.21	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	2:1
WTA Cincinnati
24.08.20	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Muchova	2:1

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