Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Berlin (Germany), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 June 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	beIN Sports France 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Naomi Osaka		Qinwen Zheng

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.39	2.85	Watch
	1.45	2.88
	1.45	2.89
	1.44	2.75
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.58)	2.89 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
67.1%

Qinwen Zheng
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naomi Osaka's performance.

Qinwen Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qinwen Zheng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naomi Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qinwen Zheng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71%	0%	29%

Naomi Osaka - Qinwen Zheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 22 - 71%). Zheng will win (votes: 9 - 29%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 55% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Osaka is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Hertogenbosch
14.06.24	Naomi Osaka - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	1:2 ✺
12.06.24	Naomi Osaka - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Elise Mertens - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
29.05.24	Iga Swiatek - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
26.05.24	Lucia Bronzetti - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW
- Qinwen Zheng
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.24	Qinwen Zheng - Elina Avanesyan	1:2 ✺
30.05.24	Qinwen Zheng - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0 ✺
28.05.24	Qinwen Zheng - Alize Cornet	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
14.05.24	Cori Gauff - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Naomi Osaka - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
13.05.24	Naomi Osaka - Qinwen Zheng	0:2
WTA San Jose
02.08.22	Naomi Osaka - Qinwen Zheng	2:1

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