Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	05:10	ESPN
Australia	19:10	Stan Sport
Belgium	09:10	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	09:10	HBO Max
Brazil	05:10	ESPN
Bulgaria	10:10	HBO Max
Canada	03:10	RDS App
Colombia	03:10	ESPN
Croatia	09:10	HBO Max
Czech Republic	09:10	HBO Max
Denmark	09:10	HBO Max
Finland	10:10	HBO Max
France	09:10	HBO Max
Hungary	09:10	HBO Max
Mexico	02:10	ESPN
Moldova	10:10	HBO Max
Montenegro	09:10	HBO Max
Netherlands	09:10	HBO Max
North Macedonia	09:10	HBO Max
Norway	09:10	HBO Max
Peru	03:10	ESPN
Poland	09:10	HBO Max
Romania	10:10	HBO Max
Serbia	09:10	HBO Max
Slovenia	09:10	HBO Max
Spain	09:10	HBO Max
Sweden	09:10	HBO Max
United Kingdom	08:10	Discovery+
Usa	03:10	ESPN USA
Venezuela	04:10	ESPN


	Naomi Osaka		Sorana Cirstea

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.57	2.41	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.57	2.44	Watch
	1.6	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.38)	2.39 ↓ (3.04)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
60.3%

Sorana Cirstea
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naomi Osaka's form might have worsened.

Sorana Cirstea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sorana Cirstea's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Naomi Osaka - Sorana Cirstea Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Cirstea will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cirstea (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Osaka (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 4 - 80%). Cirstea (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 17. Cirstea is ranked WTA: 41.

Cirstea is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Australian Open
20.01.26	Naomi Osaka - Antonia Ruzic	2:1 ✺
WTA United Cup
03.01.26	Emma Raducanu - Naomi Osaka	Canceled ✺
02.01.26	Maria Sakkari - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Women
06.12.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
WTA Osaka
17.10.25	Naomi Osaka - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	Cristian J. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 W?LL?
- Sorana Cirstea
WTA Australian Open
20.01.26	Sorana Cirstea - Eva Lys	2:1 ✺
WTA Adelaide
13.01.26	Sorana Cirstea - Dayana Yastremska	Canceled ✺
10.01.26	Sorana Cirstea - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Pliskova	Canceled ✺
WTA Brisbane
07.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 W?W?L

Naomi Osaka - Sorana Cirstea

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Naomi Osaka - Sorana Cirstea Predictions

Preview

Form

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