Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Urayasu, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 2 September 2026, Wednesday
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Naoya Honda |
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Naoki Nakagawa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.15 |
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1.60 |
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2.20 |
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1.58 |
Watch |
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2.29 |
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1.64 |
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2.17 |
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1.6 |
Watch |
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2.40 |
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1.54 |
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2.09 |
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1.64 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.95) |
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1.6 ↓
(1.76) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Naoya Honda
41.9% | Naoki Nakagawa
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naoya Honda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naoya Honda's form might have worsened.Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naoki Nakagawa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoya Honda than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naoya Honda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Naoya Honda - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Honda is ranked ATP: 647. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 782.Both players have been playing unpredictably. The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Honda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 08.07.26 | Naoya Honda - Naoki Nakagawa | 1:2 | | 05.09.23 | Naoki Nakagawa - Naoya Honda | 2:0 |
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