Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 East Lansing, MI, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	Naoya Honda		Nikita Filin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.90	1.78
	1.79	1.92
	2.03	1.8
	1.84	1.84
	2.01	1.78
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.79)	1.82 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoya Honda
48.8%

Nikita Filin
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoya Honda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Nikita Filin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoya Honda than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikita Filin than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Naoya Honda - Nikita Filin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Honda is ranked ATP: 660. Filin is ranked ATP: 1439.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Filin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Honda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoya Honda
ITF Tournaments
06.08.26	Kaylan Bigun - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Naoya Honda - Ryan Dickerson	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Naoya Honda - Keaton Hance	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Naoya Honda - Evan Bynoe	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	William Jansen - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- Nikita Filin
ITF Tournaments
29.07.26	Nikita Filin - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Nikita Filin - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Jelani Sarr - Nikita Filin	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Tighe Brunetti - Nikita Filin	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Aleksa Ciric - Nikita Filin	Filin N. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.07.26	Nikita Filin - Naoya Honda	0:2

Naoya Honda - Nikita Filin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide