Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: SAN LUIS POTOSI (MEXICO), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 March 2024, Tuesday


	Natalija Stevanovic		Lucrezia Stefanini

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.83	1.45
	2.83	1.45
	2.5	1.5
	2.56	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2)	1.47 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Natalija Stevanovic
35.6%

Lucrezia Stefanini
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Natalija Stevanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Natalija Stevanovic's form might have worsened.

Lucrezia Stefanini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucrezia Stefanini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natalija Stevanovic than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Natalija Stevanovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Natalija Stevanovic - Lucrezia Stefanini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stevanovic is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stefanini is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stefanini will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Stevanovic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Natalija Stevanovic
WTA San Diego
24.02.24	Natalija Stevanovic - Jule Niemeier	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.24	McCartney Kessler - Natalija Stevanovic	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Amanda Anisimova - Natalija Stevanovic	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.02.24	Hailey Baptiste - Natalija Stevanovic	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Natalija Stevanovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LL?LW
- Lucrezia Stefanini
ITF Tournaments
06.03.24	Zeynep Sonmez - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
29.02.24	Lucrezia Stefanini - Anastasiia Gureva	0:2 ✺
28.02.24	Lucrezia Stefanini - Kali Supova	2:0 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
04.02.24	Emiliana Arango - Lucrezia Stefanini	Stefanini L. retired ✺
03.02.24	Nadya Kolb - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.02.22	Lucrezia Stefanini - Natalija Stevanovic	1:2
05.02.20	Natalija Stevanovic - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2

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