Match Info

Date: 2 September 2022, Friday


	Nerman Fatic		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	3	1.38
	2.85	1.35
	3.07	1.4
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.18)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nerman Fatic
31.7%

Matteo Arnaldi
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nerman Fatic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nerman Fatic - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fatic will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fatic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
31.08.22	Nerman Fatic - Lucas Miedler	2:0 ✺
30.08.22	Marco Cecchinato - Nerman Fatic	1:2 ✺
26.08.22	Damir Dzumhur - Nerman Fatic	Fatic N. retired ✺
24.08.22	Nerman Fatic - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
22.08.22	Nerman Fatic - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WW?WW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
31.08.22	Giovanni Oradini - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
30.08.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Matteo Arnaldi	Sachko V. retired ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
25.08.22	Gilles Simon - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
24.08.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 W?LWW

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