Match Info

Date: 30 August 2022, Tuesday


	Vitaliy Sachko		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.75	1.43
	2.65	1.4
	2.75	1.46
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.56	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.02)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitaliy Sachko
34.8%

Matteo Arnaldi
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitaliy Sachko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitaliy Sachko than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitaliy Sachko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vitaliy Sachko - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Sachko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arnaldi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Challenger
24.08.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Joao Domingues	0:2 ✺
22.08.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
16.08.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Pablo Andujar-Alba	1:2 ✺
09.08.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Filip Horansky	Canceled ✺
03.08.22	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWL?L
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP US Open
26.08.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
25.08.22	Gilles Simon - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
24.08.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
13.08.22	Filip Cristian Jianu - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLW

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