Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Antalya 19 (Turkey), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday


	Niccolo Catini		Edoardo Lavagno

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.16	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.48)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niccolo Catini
42.5%

Edoardo Lavagno
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niccolo Catini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Edoardo Lavagno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niccolo Catini than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Niccolo Catini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edoardo Lavagno than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Edoardo Lavagno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Catini is ranked ATP: 721. Lavagno is ranked ATP: 620.

Recent matches Catini is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lavagno is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Catini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lavagno will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Catini won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niccolo Catini
ITF Tournaments
06.12.24	Andrej Nedic - Niccolo Catini	2:0 ✺
06.12.24	Niccolo Catini - Aleksandr Lobanov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.11.24	Niccolo Catini - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.11.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Niccolo Catini	2:0 ✺
13.11.24	Niccolo Catini - Andrea Motta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW
- Edoardo Lavagno
ATP Challenger
17.11.24	Luca Castagnola - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
11.11.24	Patrick Maloney - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.10.24	Edoardo Lavagno - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Mariano Tammaro - Edoardo Lavagno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.10.22	Edoardo Lavagno - Niccolo Catini	2:0

Niccolo Catini - Edoardo Lavagno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide