Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 4, clay - Quarter-finalsDate: 5 December 2025, Friday
|
 |
|
 |
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Nicholas David Ionel |
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Carlos Lopez Montagud |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.7 |
|
1.4 |
|
 |
2.69 |
|
1.45 |
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 |
2.71 |
|
1.39 |
 Watch |
 |
2.63 |
|
1.44 |
|
 |
2.62 |
|
1.43 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(2.71) |
|
1.42 ↑
(1.39) |
|
- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nicholas David Ionel
34.8% | Carlos Lopez Montagud
65.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicholas David Ionel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Carlos Lopez Montagud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicholas David Ionel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Lopez Montagud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Carlos Lopez Montagud will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 0:2 
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Preview
Ionel is ranked ATP: 616. Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 483.Ionel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Lopez Montagud is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Ionel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Lopez Montagud might have a minor edge in this game. We predict that Lopez Montagud will win today's game, with odds of 1.42. In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
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Last Results with these Odds
Nicholas David Ionel - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.9%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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