Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Tiago Pereira		Carlos Lopez Montagud

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	2.13	1.71
	2.01	1.71	Watch
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.85)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
46.5%

Carlos Lopez Montagud
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Carlos Lopez Montagud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tiago Pereira - Carlos Lopez Montagud Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Lopez Montagud (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lopez Montagud (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 260. Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 546.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lopez Montagud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Carlos Lopez Montagud - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Lukas Neumayer	Canceled ✺
17.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Alberto Barroso Campos	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?LLLW
- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Joao Graca - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.11.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL

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