Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Elmer Moller		Carlos Lopez Montagud

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.46	2.83
	1.59	2.24	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.42)	2.59 ↓ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
63.8%

Carlos Lopez Montagud
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Carlos Lopez Montagud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (-4%)

Elmer Moller - Carlos Lopez Montagud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 147. Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 551.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Moller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moller is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moller won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Elmer Moller - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Elmer Moller - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Joao Graca - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Elmer Moller - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2

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